Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.082764e-03 1.232021e-03 0.001383 0.001547 0.001719 0.001894 0.002084
2025-05-04 9.050614e-04 1.122429e-03 0.001350 0.001604 0.001878 0.002163 0.002479
2025-05-11 6.824888e-04 9.387270e-04 0.001218 0.001540 0.001895 0.002271 0.002696
2025-05-18 4.880665e-04 7.632759e-04 0.001078 0.001452 0.001875 0.002332 0.002857
2025-05-25 3.624853e-04 6.512525e-04 0.000997 0.001421 0.001911 0.002449 0.003074
2025-06-01 2.445108e-04 5.305782e-04 0.000894 0.001355 0.001901 0.002509 0.003223
2025-06-08 1.706737e-04 4.546209e-04 0.000837 0.001338 0.001941 0.002622 0.003429
2025-06-15 1.365130e-04 4.291363e-04 0.000841 0.001391 0.002062 0.002825 0.003735
2025-06-22 8.362833e-05 3.608933e-04 0.000782 0.001361 0.002081 0.002908 0.003903
2025-06-29 5.330544e-05 3.212942e-04 0.000757 0.001371 0.002146 0.003043 0.004128
2025-07-06 4.776243e-05 3.299984e-04 0.000800 0.001470 0.002317 0.003301 0.004492
2025-07-13 2.184034e-05 2.799042e-04 0.000753 0.001447 0.002337 0.003381 0.004652
2025-07-20 4.744252e-07 2.030531e-04 0.000668 0.001387 0.002334 0.003460 0.004842
2025-07-27 NaN 1.773041e-04 0.000662 0.001436 0.002468 0.003704 0.005229
2025-08-03 NaN 1.143922e-04 0.000578 0.001370 0.002455 0.003772 0.005412
2025-08-10 NaN 5.935805e-05 0.000486 0.001284 0.002411 0.003801 0.005547
2025-08-17 NaN 3.095405e-05 0.000435 0.001254 0.002437 0.003912 0.005779
2025-08-24 NaN 7.825879e-06 0.000368 0.001190 0.002415 0.003963 0.005937
2025-08-31 NaN 5.166930e-07 0.000332 0.001173 0.002454 0.004087 0.006181
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000336 0.001223 0.002584 0.004326 0.006563
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000297 0.001194 0.002604 0.004424 0.006774
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000281 0.001204 0.002675 0.004587 0.007063
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000308 0.001297 0.002865 0.004901 0.007534